{"id":14271,"url":"\/distributions\/14271\/click?bit=1&hash=51917511656265921c5b13ff3eb9d4e048e0aaeb67fc3977400bb43652cdbd32","title":"\u0420\u0435\u0434\u0430\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0440 \u043d\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043e\u043a \u0438 \u0441\u043f\u0435\u0446\u043f\u0440\u043e\u0435\u043a\u0442\u043e\u0432 \u0432 vc.ru \u2014 \u043d\u0430\u0439\u0434\u0438\u0441\u044c!","buttonText":"","imageUuid":""}

Empervest

12 июл 2021 12.07.2021

ПАО АФК «Система» доходность до 50%

Классическая идея, про которую писал Грэм о покупке «1 доллара за 50 центов».

Как стало известно: https://www.rbc.ru/business/29/06/2021/60d9cc939a794718143a2c98

Что приводит к следующей картине оценки активов в портфеле Системы:

активы

Оценка Медси через сравнительный анализ с MD Medical Group Investments. После IPO EMC возможна еще раз переоценка Медси в большую сторону.

БЭСК и Степь взял оценки от БКС.

Итоговая картина с учетом долей Системы:

итоговая оценка АФК "Система"

Как видно компании не так страшны процентные ставки, большая часть долга это облигации с фиксированным купоном.

влияние каждого фактора на оценку

Для себя выделяю основным риском — более 50% стоимости составляют две компании.

Соответственно уменьшение долга будет приводить к увеличению справедливой цены.

Есть большой потенциал, сам буду докупать до 20% от портфеля, так как остаются перспективы для дальнейшего роста.

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Pasha Kislova

12.07.2021

Не,компания явно переоценена, будет просадка

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